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02/09/2012 - Hallandale Beach, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Saturday marks a big day for trainer Kelly Breen with the return of his 2011 Belmont Stakes champion Ruler On Ice. The four-year-old gelding is one of the favorites for the $500,000 Donn Handicap at Gulfstream Park.
Earlier on the card, however, Breen's other highly respected four-year-old Pants On Fire is also expected to make his return to the races. The colt is listed to start in an allowance race on Gulfstream's turf course.
"We're going to take it race by race right now," said Breen, "He's ready to run, now. We're looking at an allowance race on the grass this weekend at Gulfstream (for his turf debut), but it's supposed to rain this weekend and that race may come off. I can't say for sure right now if we'll run him if it stays on the grass, but we'll see what happens this weekend and make our other plans after that."
Owned by George and Lori Hall, Pants On Fire is to be ridden by Rosie Napravnik who guided the colt to victory in last year's Louisiana Derby. The pair also combined to win the Pegasus Stakes at Monmouth Park last June. The colt and rider finished ninth in the Kentucky Derby.
"Last year the Louisiana Derby was my first million dollar win and it was also Kelly's first million dollar win," Napravnik said.
Pants On Fire closed his 2011 season on July 31 with a fifth-place finish in the Haskell Invitational at Monmouth behind Coil, Shackleford and stablemate Ruler On Ice.
In 11 career starts Breen's charge has earned $828,100 with three wins and as many seconds.
<< Masella named associate head coach at Wagner
Staten Island, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Former Fordham head football coach Tom
Masella has been named associate head coach at Wagner College, veteran
Seahawks head coach Walt Hameline announced Thursday.
Masella, a native of Staten Island who p
<< Report: Harden to miss 2012 season
San Francisco, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Free agent pitcher Rich Harden will
reportedly miss the entire 2012 season after undergoing shoulder surgery.
According to the San Francisco Chronicle, Harden had a torn capsule in his
right sho
<< Orioles beat Bergesen in arbitration
Baltimore, MD (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Baltimore Orioles pitcher Brad Bergesen lost
his arbitration case and will earn a salary of $800,000 for the 2012 season.
Bergesen had sought $1.2 million.
The right-hander was 2-7 with a 5.70 earned run a
<< High-ankle sprain shelves Pens' Kennedy
Pittsburgh, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Pittsburgh Penguins head coach Dan Bylsma
revealed Thursday that forward Tyler Kennedy has a high-ankle sprain and will
possibly be sidelined at least a month.
"After a week we'll have a better idea
Lafayette-Lehigh to play 150 in NYC? >>
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - As if the 150th meeting between the
Lafayette and Lehigh football teams wasn't special enough ...
How about an extra special venue?
The Express-Times of Easton, Pa., reported Thursday about the concept o
Gonzalez will retire next month >>
Santiago, Chile (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Chilean star Fernando Gonzalez says he
expects to retire from the ATP World Tour next month.
The former Australian Open runner-up, who has been plagued by hip, knee and
back injuries over the las
Lamar to visit Hawaii as part of 12-game schedule >>
Beaumont, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Lamar University football will visit the
University of Hawaii as part of a 12-game schedule announced Thursday.
Football Championship Subdivision teams usually play a maximum of 11 games,
but the Cardinals are
Nets' Bogans headed for surgery >>
East Rutherford, NJ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The New Jersey Nets announced Thursday
that guard Keith Bogans has been diagnosed with a complete tear of the deltoid
ligament as well as a fractured left ankle.
Bogans, who signed with the Nets on
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In any football or basketball game (the main sports that use point spreads) there are two teams playing against each other.
Those teams, though, are rarely exactly evenly matched – meaning that typically one team has a better chance than the other to win the game. If bettors were allowed to bet on who was simply going to win the game, smart ones would obviously bet on the better team (likely winning more than 50% of the time in the process).
If winning were that easy the Las Vegas and online sportsbooks would stop taking any bets! This is where the point spread comes in: the basic function of the point spread is to balance the likelihood of each team “winning” by adjusting the final score by the point spread. After this adjustment is made you get the Against The Spread result (ATS result for short).
Let’s look at Super Bowl XXXIX, New England Patriots vs. Philadelphia Eagles. Most people believed the defending champ Patriots to be the better team – so if betting were simply based upon which team would win the game, an uneven majority of people would have wagered on New England. But, by using the point spread, the bookmakers adjusted the terms of the bet, evening the proposition so about half the people believed the Pats to be the smart bet, while the other half considered Philly to be the smart bet.
New England Patriots -7 vs. Philadelphia Eagles
The better team, called the Favorite, is expected to win the game and must “give” or “lay” points to the weaker team. The favorite is listed with a minus sign and the number of points they are favored by (e.g., New England -7)
In the case of our example, New England must not only win the game, but they must win by more than 7 points for Pats bettors to have a winning ATS result. An Eagles bettor wins his bet either if:
There was also the possibility that the final score could land exactly on the spread number (for example, the Pats winning 28-21 when -7), which is called a “push” or “no action” and a refund is then issued to bettors of both teams.
The same game with the same point spread can be considered from the weaker team’s perspective: The Underdog (Philly in the case of our example) is not expected to win the game and online football betting thus receives or “gets” points given by the stronger team. When a game is stated from the underdog’s perspective the team is listed with a plus sign and the number of points they are underdogs by:
Philadelphia Eagles +7 vs. New England Patriots
Keep in mind that Philadelphia +7 and New England -7 is the same point spread on the same game, simply stated differently. The first is from the underdog’s perspective; the later is from the favorite’s.
Not a must, but for some a mathematical approach is insightful. You can determine the ATS winner by either:
Let’s look at the actual result of Super Bowl XXXIX: New England 24 Philadelphia 21
The favorite, New England, won the game but not by more than the point spread they were favored by (7), so the ATS result was a LOSS for Pats bettors.
Looking at it from the underdog’s perspective, Philly did not win the game, but they lost by less than the point spread (7), so the ATS result was a WIN for Eagle bettors.
Mathematically considered, 24 for the favorite Pats minus 7 equals 17, which is less than the 20 the Eagles scored, so the underdog Eagles win the ATS result (or you could figure 20 plus 7 equals 27 for the Eagles, which is more than 24 for the Pats).
Emily’s boyfriend understood the point spread and wagered $100 on the Eagles at +7. The Eagles may not have gotten a Super Bowl ring, but since they won the ATS result Emily’s boyfriend cashed his bet – giving him money to take her out to a nice dinner.
And now hopefully you understand how to read point spreads, putting you one step closer to joining the fun of sports betting.
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